UEFA Champions League
Roma vs Slovan Bratislava prediction: UEFA Champions League, Tuesday 20 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Roma host Slovan Bratislava in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 20 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Olimpico (Rome). Roma are 25th in the table with 1 points from 2 games; Slovan Bratislava are 36th with 0.
Who will win Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
The model makes Roma clear favourites at 81%, with the draw at 12% and Slovan Bratislava at 6%. Megapari's 1.13 on Roma is shorter than our fair price of 1.23: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Roma to win (81%), Roma or draw (94%), over 1.5 goals (81%) and over 2.5 goals (67%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to win Tip | 81% | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.14 | 11.10 |
| Slovan Bratislava to win | 6% | 15.85 | 25.00 |
| Roma or draw Tip | 94% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| Draw or Slovan Bratislava | 19% | 5.38 | 7.10 |
| Roma or Slovan Bratislava | 88% | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 81% | 1.24 | 1.02 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 67% | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 | 3.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.03 | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.97 | 1.75 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 15 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Roma vs Slovan Bratislava
Goals are expected: 2.5 for Roma and 0.8 for Slovan Bratislava, 3.3 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.
Roma vs Slovan Bratislava correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 12%, ahead of 3-0 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 12.0% | 8.33 |
| 3-0 | 10.1% | 9.89 |
| 1-0 | 9.2% | 10.87 |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 11.05 |
| 3-1 | 7.6% | 13.11 |
Form: Roma and Slovan Bratislava in their last five
Roma have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Slovan Bratislava have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. The results cover every competition in our data.
Roma: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | Real Madrid (home)UEFA Champions League | 3-4 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Como (away)Serie A | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Inter (home)Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Torino (away)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Fenerbahçe (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
Slovan Bratislava: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | VfB Stuttgart (home)UEFA Champions League | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Skalica (away)Slovak Super League | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | KFC Komarno (away)Slovak Super League | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | MSK Zilina (home)Slovak Super League | 3-3 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | PSG (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-6 | L |
Roma vs Slovan Bratislava head to head
Roma and Slovan Bratislava have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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