Süper Lig
Samsunspor vs Amedspor prediction: Süper Lig, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Samsunspor
Amedspor
- Samsunspor
- 33%Megapari 2.81
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.56
- Amedspor
- 41%Megapari 2.53
- Over 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28Bet 1.23
xG 1.4–1.6 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)
Samsunspor host Amedspor in the Süper Lig on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. The match is played at 19 Mayıs (Samsun). Samsunspor are 17th in the table with 4 points from 8 games; Amedspor are 2nd with 17.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Amedspor?
There is little to separate the sides: Samsunspor 33%, the draw 26%, Amedspor 41%. Megapari pays 2.53 on Amedspor, more than our fair price of 2.45.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor to win | 33% | 3.02 | 2.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | 3.56 |
| Amedspor to win | 41% | 2.45 | 2.53 |
| Samsunspor or draw | 59% | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Draw or Amedspor | 67% | 1.50 | 1.47 |
| Samsunspor or Amedspor | 74% | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 1.94 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.29 | 2.08 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Samsunspor vs Amedspor
Expected goals are 1.4 for Samsunspor and 1.6 for Amedspor, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Samsunspor vs Amedspor correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.5% | 8.73 |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | 11.03 |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | 13.14 |
| 0-1 | 7.5% | 13.28 |
| 0-2 | 6.6% | 15.24 |
Form: Samsunspor and Amedspor in their last five
Samsunspor have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. Amedspor are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 13 goals scored and 6 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Samsunspor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Kasimpasa (away)Süper Lig | 1-4 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Trabzonspor (home)Süper Lig | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | BB Erzurumspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Arca Corum (home)Süper Lig | 1-5 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Kocaelispor (away)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
Amedspor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Konyaspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Genclerbirligi (away)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Beşiktaş (home)Süper Lig | 3-2 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | İstanbul Başakşehir (home)Süper Lig | 5-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Kasimpasa (away)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
Samsunspor vs Amedspor head to head
Samsunspor and Amedspor have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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