South African Premiership
Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants prediction: South African Premiership, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Sekhukhune United host Marumo Gallants in the South African Premiership on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. The match is played at Peter Mokaba (Polokwane). Sekhukhune United are 6th in the table with 11 points from 7 games; Marumo Gallants are 16th with 2.
Who will win Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants?
Sekhukhune United are favourites, though not by much: 57% to win, 27% for the draw and 16% for Marumo Gallants. Megapari's 1.63 on Sekhukhune United is shorter than our fair price of 1.74: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Sekhukhune United to win (57%), Sekhukhune United or draw (84%) and under 3.5 goals (78%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sekhukhune United to win Tip | 57% | 1.74 | 1.63 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | 3.28 |
| Marumo Gallants to win | 16% | 6.32 | 5.33 |
| Sekhukhune United or draw Tip | 84% | 1.19 | 1.08 |
| Draw or Marumo Gallants | 43% | 2.35 | 2.02 |
| Sekhukhune United or Marumo Gallants | 73% | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 2.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.29 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | 2.26 | 2.19 |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | 1.79 | 1.59 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 12:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants
Expected goals are 1.6 for Sekhukhune United and 0.6 for Marumo Gallants, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 42%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 44%.
Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 17%, ahead of 2-0 (13%) and 1-1 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 16.8% | 5.97 |
| 2-0 | 13.5% | 7.42 |
| 1-1 | 11.5% | 8.70 |
| 0-0 | 11.4% | 8.76 |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | 11.55 |
Form: Sekhukhune United and Marumo Gallants in their last five
Sekhukhune United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Marumo Gallants have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 4 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Sekhukhune United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Richards Bay (away)South African Premiership | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Stellenbosch (away)South African Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | TS Galaxy (home)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Orlando Pirates (away)South African Premiership | 0-2 | L |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Polokwane City (home)South African Premiership | 2-0 | W |
Marumo Gallants: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Orlando Pirates (home)South African Premiership | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | AmaZulu (away)South African Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Polokwane City (home)South African Premiership | 2-2 | D |
| 25 Aug 2026 | TS Galaxy (home)South African Premiership | 2-3 | L |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns (away)South African Premiership | 0-2 | L |
Sekhukhune United vs Marumo Gallants head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Sekhukhune United won 2, Marumo Gallants won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 25 April 2026, finished Sekhukhune United 1–1 Marumo Gallants.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Sekhukhune United – Marumo GallantsSouth African Premiership | 1-1 |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Marumo Gallants – Sekhukhune UnitedSouth African Premiership | 1-1 |
| 12 Mar 2025 | Marumo Gallants – Sekhukhune UnitedSouth African Premiership | 1-2 |
| 28 Dec 2024 | Sekhukhune United – Marumo GallantsSouth African Premiership | 1-0 |
Every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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