Sporting CP vs Academico de Viseu prediction: Primeira Liga, Sunday 25 October

Sporting CP host Academico de Viseu in Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 23:30 EAT. The match is played at Jose Alvalade (Lisboa). Sporting CP are 3rd in the table with 18 points from 8 games; Academico de Viseu are 6th with 14.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Academico de Viseu?

The model makes Sporting CP clear favourites at 75%, with the draw at 15% and Academico de Viseu at 10%. Megapari's 1.22 on Sporting CP is shorter than our fair price of 1.33: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Sporting CP to win (75%), Sporting CP or draw (90%), over 1.5 goals (82%) and over 2.5 goals (63%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Sporting CP vs Academico de Viseu

Goals are expected: 2.5 for Sporting CP and 0.9 for Academico de Viseu, 3.4 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.

Sporting CP vs Academico de Viseu correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Sporting CP and Academico de Viseu in their last five

Sporting CP are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 11 goals scored and 5 conceded. Academico de Viseu have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Sporting CP: last five matches

Academico de Viseu: last five matches

Sporting CP vs Academico de Viseu head to head

Sporting CP and Academico de Viseu have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Sporting CP has drifted from 1.15 to 1.22 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.36 to 1.40, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.