UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP vs LASK prediction: UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 21 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Sporting CP host LASK in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Jose Alvalade (Lisboa). Sporting CP are 6th in the table with 6 points from 2 games; LASK are 33rd with 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs LASK?
The model makes Sporting CP clear favourites at 78%, with the draw at 13% and LASK at 9%. Megapari's 1.31 on Sporting CP sits right on our fair price of 1.29.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Sporting CP to win (78%), Sporting CP or draw (91%), over 1.5 goals (87%) and over 2.5 goals (70%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP to win Tip | 78% | 1.29 | 1.31 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.49 | 6.75 |
| LASK to win | 9% | 11.22 | 9.70 |
| Sporting CP or draw Tip | 91% | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| Draw or LASK | 22% | 4.49 | 3.82 |
| Sporting CP or LASK | 87% | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 87% | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 70% | 1.44 | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.28 | 3.04 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.29 | 2.13 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 15 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Sporting CP vs LASK
Goals are expected: 3.2 for Sporting CP and 1.0 for LASK, 4.1 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 70%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Sporting CP vs LASK correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 3-0 at 9%, ahead of 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 12 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | 8.5% | 11.71 |
| 3-1 | 8.2% | 12.20 |
| 2-0 | 8.1% | 12.39 |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | 12.90 |
| 4-0 | 6.8% | 14.75 |
Form: Sporting CP and LASK in their last five
Sporting CP are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 11 goals scored and 5 conceded. LASK have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 7 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Sporting CP: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Lens (away)UEFA Champions League | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Braga (away)Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Arouca (home)Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Famalicão (away)Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Galatasaray (home)UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
LASK: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | Liverpool (home)UEFA Champions League | 3-6 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Rapid Wien (home)Austrian Bundesliga | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Hartberg (away)Austrian Bundesliga | 3-3 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Sturm Graz (away)Austrian Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | AEK Athens (away)UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
Sporting CP vs LASK head to head
Sporting CP and LASK have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT