Scottish Premiership
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United prediction: Scottish Premiership, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
St. Johnstone
Dundee United
- St. Johnstone
- 46%Megapari 2.34
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.44
- Dundee United
- 28%Megapari 2.84
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.7–1.0 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
St. Johnstone host Dundee United in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at McDiarmid Park (Perth). St. Johnstone are 6th in the table with 8 points from 7 games; Dundee United are 8th with 8.
Who will win St. Johnstone vs Dundee United?
St. Johnstone are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 26% for the draw and 28% for Dundee United. Megapari pays 2.34 on St. Johnstone, more than our fair price of 2.16.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Johnstone to win | 46% | 2.16 | 2.34 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | 3.44 |
| Dundee United to win | 28% | 3.61 | 2.84 |
| St. Johnstone or draw | 72% | 1.38 | 1.39 |
| Draw or Dundee United | 54% | 1.86 | 1.56 |
| St. Johnstone or Dundee United | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | 2.04 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 | 2.23 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in St. Johnstone vs Dundee United
Expected goals are 1.7 for St. Johnstone and 1.0 for Dundee United, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.9% | 8.43 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 9.50 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 10.30 |
| 2-0 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 0-0 | 6.9% | 14.47 |
Form: St. Johnstone and Dundee United in their last five
St. Johnstone have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Dundee United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
St. Johnstone: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Falkirk (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Celtic (home)Scottish Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Hibernian (home)Scottish Premiership | 2-1 | W |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Dundee (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Heart of Midlothian (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-2 | L |
Dundee United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | St. Mirren (away)Scottish Premiership | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Falkirk (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Motherwell (away)Scottish Premiership | 0-3 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Kilmarnock (away)Scottish Premiership | 4-0 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Dundee (home)Scottish Premiership | 0-2 | L |
St. Johnstone vs Dundee United head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, St. Johnstone won none, Dundee United won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 12 April 2025, finished Dundee United 1–0 St. Johnstone.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Dundee United – St. JohnstoneScottish Premiership | 1-0 |
| 26 Dec 2024 | St. Johnstone – Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership | 1-2 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Dundee United – St. JohnstoneScottish Premiership | 2-0 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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