SV 07 Elversberg vs Augsburg prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 17 October

SV 07 Elversberg host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 16:30 EAT. The match is played at Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg). SV 07 Elversberg are 8th in the table with 7 points from 4 games; Augsburg are 5th with 7.

Who will win SV 07 Elversberg vs Augsburg?

There is little to separate the sides: SV 07 Elversberg 42%, the draw 25%, Augsburg 32%. Megapari pays 2.55 on SV 07 Elversberg, more than our fair price of 2.36.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 2.5 goals (60%) and both teams to score: yes (62%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in SV 07 Elversberg vs Augsburg

Goals are expected: 1.6 for SV 07 Elversberg and 1.3 for Augsburg, 2.9 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 62%.

SV 07 Elversberg vs Augsburg correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: SV 07 Elversberg and Augsburg in their last five

SV 07 Elversberg have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Augsburg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

SV 07 Elversberg: last five matches

Augsburg: last five matches

SV 07 Elversberg vs Augsburg head to head

SV 07 Elversberg and Augsburg have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.