EFL Championship
Swansea City vs West Ham prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Swansea City
West Ham
- Swansea City
- 28%
- Draw
- 25%
- West Ham
- 47%
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.3–1.7 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Swansea City host West Ham in the EFL Championship on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Who will win Swansea City vs West Ham?
West Ham are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 25% for the draw and 28% for Swansea City.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea City to win | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 |
| West Ham to win | 47% | 2.14 |
| Swansea City or draw | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw or West Ham | 72% | 1.40 |
| Swansea City or West Ham | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 |
Goals in Swansea City vs West Ham
Expected goals are 1.3 for Swansea City and 1.7 for West Ham, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Swansea City vs West Ham correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.6% | 8.63 |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | 10.64 |
| 0-1 | 8.3% | 11.98 |
| 0-2 | 7.4% | 13.50 |
| 2-1 | 7.1% | 14.16 |
Form: Swansea City and West Ham in their last five
Swansea City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. West Ham are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 18 goals scored and 6 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Swansea City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (away)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Burnley (home)EFL Championship | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Southampton (away)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Wrexham (home)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Watford (home)EFL Championship | 2-0 | W |
West Ham: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Millwall (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Wrexham (home)EFL Championship | 6-0 | W |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Bolton Wanderers (away)EFL Championship | 3-2 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Derby County (home)EFL Championship | 3-0 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Wolves (home)EFL Championship | 4-2 | W |
Swansea City vs West Ham head to head
Swansea City and West Ham have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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