Eredivisie
Telstar vs Feyenoord prediction: Eredivisie, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Telstar
Feyenoord
- Telstar
- 16%Megapari 7.80
- Draw
- 19%Megapari 5.60
- Feyenoord
- 64%Megapari 1.34
- Feyenoord to win64% · fair 1.55Bet 1.34
- Draw or Feyenoord84% · fair 1.19Bet 1.07
- Over 1.5 goals79% · fair 1.26Bet 1.05
- Over 2.5 goals64% · fair 1.56Bet 1.28
- Both teams to score: yes58% · fair 1.72Bet 1.53
xG 1.1–2.0 · likeliest 1-1 (10%)
Telstar host Feyenoord in Eredivisie on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 21:00 EAT. The match is played at BUKO (Velsen-Zuid). Telstar are 13th in the table with 5 points from 7 games; Feyenoord are 3rd with 17.
Who will win Telstar vs Feyenoord?
The model makes Feyenoord clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 19% and Telstar at 16%. Megapari's 1.34 on Feyenoord is shorter than our fair price of 1.55: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Five markets clear our thresholds for this match: Feyenoord to win (64%), draw or Feyenoord (84%), over 1.5 goals (79%), over 2.5 goals (64%) and both teams to score: yes (58%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar to win | 16% | 6.23 | 7.80 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.13 | 5.60 |
| Feyenoord to win Tip | 64% | 1.55 | 1.34 |
| Telstar or draw | 36% | 2.81 | 3.24 |
| Draw or Feyenoord Tip | 84% | 1.19 | 1.07 |
| Telstar or Feyenoord | 81% | 1.24 | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 64% | 1.56 | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | 3.05 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 58% | 1.72 | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | 2.39 | 2.34 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Telstar vs Feyenoord
Goals are expected: 1.1 for Telstar and 2.0 for Feyenoord, 3.1 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.
Telstar vs Feyenoord correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.2% | 9.83 |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | 10.10 |
| 0-2 | 8.9% | 11.24 |
| 0-1 | 8.4% | 11.90 |
| 1-3 | 6.7% | 14.97 |
Form: Telstar and Feyenoord in their last five
Telstar have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 2 in that run. Feyenoord have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +12. The results cover every competition in our data.
Telstar: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | AZ (away)Eredivisie | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Heerenveen (away)Eredivisie | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Twente (away)Eredivisie | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Cambuur (home)Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Ajax (home)Eredivisie | 0-4 | L |
Feyenoord: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | AZ (home)Eredivisie | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Utrecht (home)Eredivisie | 5-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | PEC Zwolle (away)Eredivisie | 7-0 | W |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Barcelona (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-5 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | NEC (away)Eredivisie | 3-1 | W |
Telstar vs Feyenoord head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Telstar won none, Feyenoord won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 22 February 2026, finished Feyenoord 2–1 Telstar.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Feyenoord – TelstarEredivisie | 2-1 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Telstar – FeyenoordEredivisie | 1-2 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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