Torino vs Monza prediction: Serie A, Friday 23 October

Torino host Monza in Serie A on Friday 23 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT. The match is played at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Torino). Torino are 12th in the table with 7 points from 6 games; Monza are 16th with 4.

Who will win Torino vs Monza?

Torino are favourites, though not by much: 46% to win, 26% for the draw and 27% for Monza. Megapari's 2.15 on Torino sits right on our fair price of 2.16.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Torino vs Monza

Expected goals are 1.6 for Torino and 1.2 for Monza, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 50%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.

Torino vs Monza correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Torino and Monza in their last five

Torino have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Monza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Torino: last five matches

Monza: last five matches

Torino vs Monza head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Torino won 2, Monza won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 2 March 2025, finished Monza 0–2 Torino.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Torino has drifted from 2.14 to 2.15 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.11 to 2.11, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.