Süper Lig
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş prediction: Süper Lig, Monday 19 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Trabzonspor
Beşiktaş
- Trabzonspor
- 36%Megapari 3.10
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.84
- Beşiktaş
- 39%Megapari 2.23
- Both teams to score: yes59% · fair 1.70Bet 1.49
xG 1.5–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Trabzonspor host Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig on Monday 19 October, kick-off 20:00 EAT. The match is played at Papara Park (Trabzon). Trabzonspor are 5th in the table with 13 points from 7 games; Beşiktaş are 2nd with 15.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?
There is little to separate the sides: Trabzonspor 36%, the draw 26%, Beşiktaş 39%. Megapari's 2.23 on Beşiktaş is shorter than our fair price of 2.58: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor to win | 36% | 2.80 | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | 3.84 |
| Beşiktaş to win | 39% | 2.58 | 2.23 |
| Trabzonspor or draw | 61% | 1.63 | 1.70 |
| Draw or Beşiktaş | 64% | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Trabzonspor or Beşiktaş | 74% | 1.34 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.30 | 2.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.70 | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.43 | 2.44 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 12 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş
Expected goals are 1.5 for Trabzonspor and 1.4 for Beşiktaş, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.2% | 8.20 |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | 11.44 |
| 1-0 | 8.2% | 12.22 |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | 12.56 |
| 0-1 | 7.4% | 13.51 |
Form: Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş in their last five
Trabzonspor have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +10. Beşiktaş have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +7. The results cover every competition in our data.
Trabzonspor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Samsunspor (away)Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Galatasaray (home)Süper Lig | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Konyaspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Genclerbirligi (home)Süper Lig | 5-0 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Amedspor (away)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
Beşiktaş: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Kocaelispor (home)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Amedspor (away)Süper Lig | 2-3 | L |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Marseille (home)UEFA Europa League | 4-1 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | BB Erzurumspor (home)Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Fenerbahçe (away)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Trabzonspor won 1, Beşiktaş won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Beşiktaş 1–2 Trabzonspor.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Beşiktaş – TrabzonsporSüper Lig | 1-2 |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşSüper Lig | 3-3 |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Beşiktaş – TrabzonsporSüper Lig | 2-1 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşSüper Lig | 1-1 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Beşiktaş has drifted from 2.12 to 2.23 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.65 to 1.64, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor to win | 3.31 | 3.10 ↓ |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.84 ↓ |
| Beşiktaş to win | 2.12 | 2.23 ↑ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.64 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.38 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.51 | 1.49 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.39 | 2.44 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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