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Süper Lig

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş prediction: Süper Lig, Monday 19 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Trabzonspor

Beşiktaş

Trabzonspor
36%Megapari 3.10
Draw
26%Megapari 3.84
Beşiktaş
39%Megapari 2.23
  • Both teams to score: yes59% · fair 1.70Bet 1.49

xG 1.5–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)

Trabzonspor host Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig on Monday 19 October, kick-off 20:00 EAT. The match is played at Papara Park (Trabzon). Trabzonspor are 5th in the table with 13 points from 7 games; Beşiktaş are 2nd with 15.

Who will win Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş?

There is little to separate the sides: Trabzonspor 36%, the draw 26%, Beşiktaş 39%. Megapari's 2.23 on Beşiktaş is shorter than our fair price of 2.58: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Trabzonspor to win 36% 2.80 3.10
Draw 26% 3.91 3.84
Beşiktaş to win 39% 2.58 2.23
Trabzonspor or draw 61% 1.63 1.70
Draw or Beşiktaş 64% 1.55 1.40
Trabzonspor or Beşiktaş 74% 1.34 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 77% 1.31 1.14
Over 2.5 goals 56% 1.77 1.64
Under 2.5 goals 44% 2.30 2.38
Under 3.5 goals 69% 1.46 1.47
Both teams to score: yes Tip 59% 1.70 1.49
Both teams to score: no 41% 2.43 2.44

Odds: Megapari, as of 12 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş

Expected goals are 1.5 for Trabzonspor and 1.4 for Beşiktaş, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-112.2%8.20
2-18.7%11.44
1-08.2%12.22
1-28.0%12.56
0-17.4%13.51

Form: Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş in their last five

Trabzonspor have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +10. Beşiktaş have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +7. The results cover every competition in our data.

Trabzonspor: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Samsunspor (away)Süper Lig3-0W
19 Sep 2026Galatasaray (home)Süper Lig4-0W
12 Sep 2026Konyaspor (away)Süper Lig0-1L
6 Sep 2026Genclerbirligi (home)Süper Lig5-0W
31 Aug 2026Amedspor (away)Süper Lig1-2L

Beşiktaş: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Kocaelispor (home)Süper Lig2-1W
20 Sep 2026Amedspor (away)Süper Lig2-3L
17 Sep 2026Marseille (home)UEFA Europa League4-1W
11 Sep 2026BB Erzurumspor (home)Süper Lig3-0W
5 Sep 2026Fenerbahçe (away)Süper Lig2-1W

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Trabzonspor won 1, Beşiktaş won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Beşiktaş 1–2 Trabzonspor.

DateMatchScore
9 May 2026Beşiktaş – TrabzonsporSüper Lig1-2
14 Dec 2025Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşSüper Lig3-3
15 Feb 2025Beşiktaş – TrabzonsporSüper Lig2-1
15 Sep 2024Trabzonspor – BeşiktaşSüper Lig1-1

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Beşiktaş has drifted from 2.12 to 2.23 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.65 to 1.64, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Trabzonspor to win3.313.10 ↓
Draw3.903.84 ↓
Beşiktaş to win2.122.23 ↑
Over 2.5 goals1.651.64 ↓
Under 2.5 goals2.352.38 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.511.49 ↓
Both teams to score: no2.392.44 ↑

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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