Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction: Belgian Pro League, Sunday 25 October

Union Saint-Gilloise host Cercle Brugge in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 21:15 EAT. The match is played at Joseph Marien (Brussel). Union Saint-Gilloise are 4th in the table with 20 points from 8 games; Cercle Brugge are 18th with 3.

Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

The model makes Union Saint-Gilloise clear favourites at 74%, with the draw at 16% and Cercle Brugge at 9%. Megapari's 1.31 on Union Saint-Gilloise sits right on our fair price of 1.35.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Union Saint-Gilloise to win (74%), Union Saint-Gilloise or draw (91%), over 1.5 goals (80%) and over 2.5 goals (62%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge

Goals are expected: 2.5 for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.7 for Cercle Brugge, 3.2 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 13%, ahead of 3-0 (11%) and 1-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Union Saint-Gilloise and Cercle Brugge in their last five

Union Saint-Gilloise are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 12 goals scored and 2 conceded. Cercle Brugge have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 4 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Union Saint-Gilloise: last five matches

Cercle Brugge: last five matches

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Union Saint-Gilloise won 1, Cercle Brugge won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 26 December 2025, finished Cercle Brugge 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.