US Lecce vs Juventus prediction: Serie A, Sunday 25 October

US Lecce host Juventus in Serie A on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 20:00 EAT. The match is played at Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce). US Lecce are 11th in the table with 9 points from 7 games; Juventus are 8th with 11.

Who will win US Lecce vs Juventus?

The model makes Juventus clear favourites at 63%, with the draw at 23% and US Lecce at 14%. Megapari's 1.50 on Juventus is shorter than our fair price of 1.59: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Juventus to win (63%) and draw or Juventus (86%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in US Lecce vs Juventus

Expected goals are 0.7 for US Lecce and 1.6 for Juventus, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 47%.

US Lecce vs Juventus correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-1 at 15%, ahead of 0-2 (13%) and 1-1 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.

Form: US Lecce and Juventus in their last five

US Lecce have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Juventus have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.

US Lecce: last five matches

Juventus: last five matches

US Lecce vs Juventus head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, US Lecce won none, Juventus won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished US Lecce 0–1 Juventus.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Juventus has drifted from 1.49 to 1.50 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.93 to 1.92, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.