UEFA Europa League
Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Viktoria Plzeň
Levski Sofia
- Viktoria Plzeň
- 43%Megapari 1.87
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.88
- Levski Sofia
- 30%Megapari 4.21
- Under 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30Bet 1.35
xG 1.1–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Viktoria Plzeň host Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Doosan Arena (Plzen). Viktoria Plzeň are 31st in the table with 0 points from 2 games; Levski Sofia are 24th with 1.
Who will win Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia?
There is little to separate the sides: Viktoria Plzeň 43%, the draw 27%, Levski Sofia 30%. Megapari's 1.87 on Viktoria Plzeň is shorter than our fair price of 2.35: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (77%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Plzeň to win | 43% | 2.35 | 1.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 | 3.88 |
| Levski Sofia to win | 30% | 3.32 | 4.21 |
| Viktoria Plzeň or draw | 70% | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Draw or Levski Sofia | 57% | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| Viktoria Plzeň or Levski Sofia | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 2.05 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 77% | 1.30 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.91 | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.10 | 2.04 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia
Expected goals are 1.1 for Viktoria Plzeň and 1.2 for Levski Sofia, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (12%) and 0-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.8% | 7.25 |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | 8.67 |
| 0-0 | 10.7% | 9.31 |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | 9.35 |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | 12.76 |
Form: Viktoria Plzeň and Levski Sofia in their last five
Viktoria Plzeň have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Levski Sofia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Viktoria Plzeň: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Ferencvarosi (away)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Mladá Boleslav (home)Czech First League | 3-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Slavia Prague (away)Czech First League | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise (home)UEFA Europa League | 0-3 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Sigma Olomouc (home)Czech First League | 2-3 | L |
Levski Sofia: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | NEC (away)UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Cherno More Varna (away)Bulgarian First League | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg (home)UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Botev Vratsa (away)Bulgarian First League | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | CSKA Sofia (home)Bulgarian First League | 1-0 | W |
Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski Sofia head to head
Viktoria Plzeň and Levski Sofia have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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