Vipers vs Police prediction: Uganda Premier League, Friday 23 October

Vipers host Police in the Uganda Premier League on Friday 23 October, kick-off 20:00 EAT. Vipers are 5th in the table with 10 points from 5 games; Police are 12th with 7.

Who will win Vipers vs Police?

The model makes Vipers clear favourites at 80%, with the draw at 14% and Police at 6%.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Vipers to win (80%), Vipers or draw (94%) and over 1.5 goals (78%).

Goals in Vipers vs Police

Expected goals are 2.5 for Vipers and 0.5 for Police, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 46%.

Vipers vs Police correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 15%, ahead of 3-0 (13%) and 1-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Vipers and Police in their last five

Vipers have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +11. Police have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. The results cover every competition in our data.

Vipers: last five matches

Police: last five matches

Vipers vs Police head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Vipers won 3, Police won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 12 May 2026, finished Police 0–0 Vipers.

The rest of the Uganda Premier League is on our Uganda Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.