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Ghana Premier League

Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak prediction: Ghana Premier League, Saturday 17 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Vision

Accra Hearts of Oak

Vision
35%Megapari 2.61
Draw
35%Megapari 2.81
Accra Hearts of Oak
29%Megapari 2.61

xG 0.8–0.6 · likeliest 0-0 (25%)

Vision host Accra Hearts of Oak in the Ghana Premier League on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex (Tema). Vision are 16th in the table with 6 points from 6 games; Accra Hearts of Oak are 2nd with 11.

Who will win Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak?

There is little to separate the sides: Vision 35%, the draw 35%, Accra Hearts of Oak 29%. At 35% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.61 on Vision is shorter than our fair price of 2.83: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (35%), under 2.5 goals (68%) and under 3.5 goals (89%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Vision to win 35% 2.83 2.61
Draw Tip 35% 2.84 2.81
Accra Hearts of Oak to win 29% 3.40 2.61
Vision or draw 71% 1.42 1.36
Draw or Accra Hearts of Oak 65% 1.55 1.36
Vision or Accra Hearts of Oak 65% 1.54 1.31
Over 1.5 goals 56% 1.78 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 32% 3.09 2.52
Under 2.5 goals Tip 68% 1.48 1.41
Under 3.5 goals Tip 89% 1.12 1.10
Both teams to score: yes 42% 2.39 2.09
Both teams to score: no 58% 1.72 1.63

Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 17:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.8 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 68%. Accra Hearts of Oak may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 42%.

Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 25%, ahead of 1-0 (19%) and 0-1 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 4 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
0-024.8%4.03
1-019.1%5.22
0-114.3%7.00
1-112.4%8.07
2-07.9%12.63

Form: Vision and Accra Hearts of Oak in their last five

Vision have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. Accra Hearts of Oak have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Vision: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Bechem United (away)Ghana Premier League2-4L
3 Oct 2026Bibiani Gold Stars (home)Ghana Premier League0-0D
27 Sep 2026Berekum Chelsea (away)Ghana Premier League1-1D
19 Sep 2026Medeama (home)Ghana Premier League1-1D
12 Sep 2026Ashantigold 04 (away)Ghana Premier League1-3L

Accra Hearts of Oak: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Port City Tema (home)Ghana Premier League1-0W
3 Oct 2026Dreams (away)Ghana Premier League0-0D
26 Sep 2026Karela United (away)Ghana Premier League0-1L
20 Sep 2026Bechem United (home)Ghana Premier League0-0D
13 Sep 2026Bibiani Gold Stars (away)Ghana Premier League2-1W

Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Vision won 1, Accra Hearts of Oak won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 11 April 2026, finished Vision 1–0 Accra Hearts of Oak.

DateMatchScore
11 Apr 2026Vision – Accra Hearts of OakGhana Premier League1-0
29 Nov 2025Accra Hearts of Oak – VisionGhana Premier League1-0
13 Apr 2025Vision – Accra Hearts of OakGhana Premier League1-1
8 Nov 2024Accra Hearts of Oak – VisionGhana Premier League1-0

The rest of the Ghana Premier League is on our Ghana Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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