Ghana Premier League
Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak prediction: Ghana Premier League, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Vision host Accra Hearts of Oak in the Ghana Premier League on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex (Tema). Vision are 16th in the table with 6 points from 6 games; Accra Hearts of Oak are 2nd with 11.
Who will win Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak?
There is little to separate the sides: Vision 35%, the draw 35%, Accra Hearts of Oak 29%. At 35% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.61 on Vision is shorter than our fair price of 2.83: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (35%), under 2.5 goals (68%) and under 3.5 goals (89%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vision to win | 35% | 2.83 | 2.61 |
| Draw Tip | 35% | 2.84 | 2.81 |
| Accra Hearts of Oak to win | 29% | 3.40 | 2.61 |
| Vision or draw | 71% | 1.42 | 1.36 |
| Draw or Accra Hearts of Oak | 65% | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Vision or Accra Hearts of Oak | 65% | 1.54 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | 2.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 68% | 1.48 | 1.41 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 89% | 1.12 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | 2.39 | 2.09 |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | 1.72 | 1.63 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 17:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.8 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 68%. Accra Hearts of Oak may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 42%.
Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 25%, ahead of 1-0 (19%) and 0-1 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 4 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 24.8% | 4.03 |
| 1-0 | 19.1% | 5.22 |
| 0-1 | 14.3% | 7.00 |
| 1-1 | 12.4% | 8.07 |
| 2-0 | 7.9% | 12.63 |
Form: Vision and Accra Hearts of Oak in their last five
Vision have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. Accra Hearts of Oak have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Vision: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Bechem United (away)Ghana Premier League | 2-4 | L |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars (home)Ghana Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Berekum Chelsea (away)Ghana Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Medeama (home)Ghana Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Ashantigold 04 (away)Ghana Premier League | 1-3 | L |
Accra Hearts of Oak: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Port City Tema (home)Ghana Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Dreams (away)Ghana Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Karela United (away)Ghana Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Bechem United (home)Ghana Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars (away)Ghana Premier League | 2-1 | W |
Vision vs Accra Hearts of Oak head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Vision won 1, Accra Hearts of Oak won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 11 April 2026, finished Vision 1–0 Accra Hearts of Oak.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Vision – Accra Hearts of OakGhana Premier League | 1-0 |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Accra Hearts of Oak – VisionGhana Premier League | 1-0 |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Vision – Accra Hearts of OakGhana Premier League | 1-1 |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Accra Hearts of Oak – VisionGhana Premier League | 1-0 |
The rest of the Ghana Premier League is on our Ghana Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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