Willem II vs Cambuur prediction: Eredivisie, Saturday 24 October

Willem II host Cambuur in Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Koning Willem II (Tilburg). Willem II are 18th in the table with 2 points from 8 games; Cambuur are 12th with 8.

Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?

There is little to separate the sides: Willem II 37%, the draw 27%, Cambuur 35%. Megapari's 2.54 on Willem II is shorter than our fair price of 2.67: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Willem II vs Cambuur

Expected goals are 1.2 for Willem II and 1.2 for Cambuur, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Willem II vs Cambuur correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 0-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Willem II and Cambuur in their last five

Willem II have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. Cambuur have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Willem II: last five matches

Cambuur: last five matches

Willem II vs Cambuur head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Willem II won none, Cambuur won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 12 December 2025, finished Willem II 0–1 Cambuur.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Willem II has drifted from 2.48 to 2.54 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.60 to 1.59, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.