EFL Championship
Wolves vs Portsmouth prediction: EFL Championship, Tuesday 20 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Wolves
Portsmouth
- Wolves
- 59%
- Draw
- 23%
- Portsmouth
- 18%
- Wolves to win59% · fair 1.71
- Wolves or draw82% · fair 1.22
xG 1.9–0.9 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)
Wolves host Portsmouth in the EFL Championship on Tuesday 20 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT.
Who will win Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Wolves are favourites, though not by much: 59% to win, 23% for the draw and 18% for Portsmouth.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Wolves to win (59%) and Wolves or draw (82%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves to win Tip | 59% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.32 |
| Portsmouth to win | 18% | 5.46 |
| Wolves or draw Tip | 82% | 1.22 |
| Draw or Portsmouth | 41% | 2.41 |
| Wolves or Portsmouth | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 |
Goals in Wolves vs Portsmouth
Expected goals are 1.9 for Wolves and 0.9 for Portsmouth, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Wolves vs Portsmouth correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.0% | 9.07 |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | 9.30 |
| 2-0 | 10.4% | 9.58 |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | 10.10 |
| 3-0 | 6.5% | 15.36 |
Form: Wolves and Portsmouth in their last five
Wolves have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Portsmouth have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Wolves: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | West Bromwich Albion (home)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Sheffield United (away)EFL Championship | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Birmingham City (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 1 Sep 2026 | West Ham (away)EFL Championship | 2-4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stoke City (home)EFL Championship | 4-1 | W |
Portsmouth: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (home)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Charlton Athletic (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Cardiff City (home)EFL Championship | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Derby County (home)EFL Championship | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Bristol City (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
Wolves vs Portsmouth head to head
Wolves and Portsmouth have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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