EFL Championship
Wrexham vs Preston North End prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Wrexham
Preston North End
- Wrexham
- 53%
- Draw
- 24%
- Preston North End
- 23%
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.8–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)
Wrexham host Preston North End in the EFL Championship on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT.
Who will win Wrexham vs Preston North End?
Wrexham are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 23% for Preston North End.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham to win | 53% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 |
| Preston North End to win | 23% | 4.36 |
| Wrexham or draw | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw or Preston North End | 47% | 2.13 |
| Wrexham or Preston North End | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.22 |
Goals in Wrexham vs Preston North End
Expected goals are 1.8 for Wrexham and 1.1 for Preston North End, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.
Wrexham vs Preston North End correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.3% | 8.82 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 10.21 |
| 1-0 | 9.4% | 10.65 |
| 2-0 | 8.8% | 11.34 |
| 1-2 | 6.0% | 16.53 |
Form: Wrexham and Preston North End in their last five
Wrexham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Preston North End have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Wrexham: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Southampton (home)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | West Ham (away)EFL Championship | 0-6 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Burnley (home)EFL Championship | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Swansea City (away)EFL Championship | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Millwall (away)EFL Championship | 3-0 | W |
Preston North End: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Queens Park Rangers (away)EFL Championship | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City (home)EFL Championship | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Watford (away)EFL Championship | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Blackburn Rovers (home)EFL Championship | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Bristol City (home)EFL Championship | 1-3 | L |
Wrexham vs Preston North End head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Wrexham won 1, Preston North End won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 29 December 2025, finished Wrexham 2–1 Preston North End.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | Wrexham – Preston North EndEFL Championship | 2-1 |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Preston North End – WrexhamEFL Championship | 1-1 |
The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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