Ghana Premier League
Young Apostles vs Aduana prediction: Ghana Premier League, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Young Apostles host Aduana in the Ghana Premier League on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Wenchi (Wenchi). Young Apostles are 17th in the table with 3 points from 5 games; Aduana are 4th with 10.
Who will win Young Apostles vs Aduana?
There is little to separate the sides: Young Apostles 43%, the draw 32%, Aduana 25%. At 32% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.06 on Young Apostles is shorter than our fair price of 2.35: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: under 2.5 goals (64%) and under 3.5 goals (85%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Young Apostles to win | 43% | 2.35 | 2.06 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 | 2.98 |
| Aduana to win | 25% | 3.98 | 3.48 |
| Young Apostles or draw | 75% | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Draw or Aduana | 57% | 1.74 | 1.59 |
| Young Apostles or Aduana | 68% | 1.48 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.74 | 2.41 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 64% | 1.57 | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 85% | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | 2.27 | 2.06 |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | 1.79 | 1.65 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 12:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Young Apostles vs Aduana
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 0.7, and under 2.5 goals at 64%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 44%.
Young Apostles vs Aduana correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 19%, ahead of 1-0 (18%) and 1-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 18.6% | 5.38 |
| 1-0 | 17.7% | 5.64 |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | 7.51 |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | 8.21 |
| 2-0 | 9.2% | 10.88 |
Form: Young Apostles and Aduana in their last five
Young Apostles have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Aduana have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Young Apostles: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Samartex (away)Ghana Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Heart of Lions (home)Ghana Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Debibi United (away)Ghana Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Basake Holy Stars (home)Ghana Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Vision (away)Ghana Premier League | 0-3 | L |
Aduana: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Swedru All Blacks (home)Ghana Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Asante Kotoko (away)Ghana Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Karela United (home)Ghana Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Samartex (home)Ghana Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Heart of Lions (away)Ghana Premier League | 0-0 | D |
Young Apostles vs Aduana head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Young Apostles won 1, Aduana won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Aduana 3–1 Young Apostles.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Aduana – Young ApostlesGhana Premier League | 3-1 |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Young Apostles – AduanaGhana Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Aduana – Young ApostlesGhana Premier League | 2-2 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Young Apostles – AduanaGhana Premier League | 3-2 |
The rest of the Ghana Premier League is on our Ghana Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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