UEFA Conference League
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Brann prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Zalgiris Kaunas
Brann
- Zalgiris Kaunas
- 23%Megapari 4.41
- Draw
- 25%Megapari 4.02
- Brann
- 52%Megapari 1.78
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.0–1.6 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Zalgiris Kaunas host Brann in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Stadium named S. Darius and S. Girenas (Kaunas). Zalgiris Kaunas are 36th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Brann are 12th with 3.
Who will win Zalgiris Kaunas vs Brann?
Brann are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 25% for the draw and 23% for Zalgiris Kaunas. Megapari's 1.78 on Brann is shorter than our fair price of 1.91: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zalgiris Kaunas to win | 23% | 4.41 | 4.41 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 | 4.02 |
| Brann to win | 52% | 1.91 | 1.78 |
| Zalgiris Kaunas or draw | 48% | 2.09 | 2.08 |
| Draw or Brann | 77% | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Zalgiris Kaunas or Brann | 75% | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 2.07 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.87 | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.15 | 2.04 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Zalgiris Kaunas vs Brann
Expected goals are 1.0 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 1.6 for Brann, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Brann correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (12%) and 0-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.4% | 8.03 |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | 8.68 |
| 0-2 | 9.5% | 10.56 |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
| 0-0 | 8.1% | 12.39 |
Form: Zalgiris Kaunas and Brann in their last five
Zalgiris Kaunas have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -12. Brann have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Zalgiris Kaunas: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Brighton (away)UEFA Conference League | 0-4 | L |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Beşiktaş (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Beşiktaş (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-3 | L |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb (away)UEFA Champions League | 0-5 | L |
Brann: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps (home)UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Viking (home)Eliteserien | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Bodø/Glimt (home)Eliteserien | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | IK Start (away)Eliteserien | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Lillestrom (home)Eliteserien | 1-2 | L |
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Brann head to head
Zalgiris Kaunas and Brann have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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