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Zambia Super League

Zanaco vs Konkola Blades prediction: Zambia Super League, Sunday 11 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Zanaco

Konkola Blades

Zanaco
40%Megapari 2.11
Draw
33%Megapari 2.80
Konkola Blades
27%Megapari 3.60

xG 1.0–0.8 · likeliest 0-0 (17%)

Zanaco host Konkola Blades in the Zambia Super League on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Sunset (Lusaka).

Who will win Zanaco vs Konkola Blades?

There is little to separate the sides: Zanaco 40%, the draw 33%, Konkola Blades 27%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.11 on Zanaco is shorter than our fair price of 2.48: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: under 2.5 goals (66%) and under 3.5 goals (84%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Zanaco to win 40% 2.48 2.11
Draw 33% 3.03 2.80
Konkola Blades to win 27% 3.75 3.60
Zanaco or draw 73% 1.36 1.20
Draw or Konkola Blades 60% 1.68 1.56
Zanaco or Konkola Blades 67% 1.49 1.31
Over 1.5 goals 63% 1.58 1.61
Over 2.5 goals 34% 2.93 2.88
Under 2.5 goals Tip 66% 1.52 1.32
Under 3.5 goals Tip 84% 1.20 1.06
Both teams to score: yes 42% 2.37 2.34
Both teams to score: no 58% 1.73 1.51

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Zanaco vs Konkola Blades

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 66%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 42%.

Zanaco vs Konkola Blades correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 17%, ahead of 1-0 (16%) and 1-1 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
0-017.0%5.90
1-015.8%6.34
1-113.8%7.25
0-112.8%7.79
2-08.1%12.35

Form: Zanaco and Konkola Blades in their last five

Zanaco have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Konkola Blades have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Zanaco: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
24 May 2026ZESCO United (away)Zambia Super League1-6L
20 May 2026Kabwe Warriors (away)Zambia Super League0-0D
16 May 2026Nchanga Rangers (home)Zambia Super League1-0W
12 May 2026NAPSA Stars (away)Zambia Super League0-2L
6 May 2026Red Arrows (home)Zambia Super League0-0D

Konkola Blades: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
23 May 2026Nchanga Rangers (away)Zambia Super League2-1W
17 May 2026NAPSA Stars (home)Zambia Super League0-0D
14 May 2026Mines United (away)Zambia Super League2-1W
2 May 2026Power Dynamos (home)Zambia Super League1-2L
29 Apr 2026Red Arrows (away)Zambia Super League1-1D

Zanaco vs Konkola Blades head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Zanaco won 2, Konkola Blades won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2026, finished Zanaco 1–1 Konkola Blades.

DateMatchScore
15 Mar 2026Zanaco – Konkola BladesZambia Super League1-1
19 Oct 2025Konkola Blades – ZanacoZambia Super League0-1
16 Mar 2024Konkola Blades – ZanacoZambia Super League0-0
21 Oct 2023Zanaco – Konkola BladesZambia Super League3-0

The rest of the Zambia Super League is on our Zambia Super League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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