Zambia Super League
Zanaco vs Konkola Blades prediction: Zambia Super League, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Zanaco host Konkola Blades in the Zambia Super League on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Sunset (Lusaka).
Who will win Zanaco vs Konkola Blades?
There is little to separate the sides: Zanaco 40%, the draw 33%, Konkola Blades 27%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.11 on Zanaco is shorter than our fair price of 2.48: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: under 2.5 goals (66%) and under 3.5 goals (84%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zanaco to win | 40% | 2.48 | 2.11 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.03 | 2.80 |
| Konkola Blades to win | 27% | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Zanaco or draw | 73% | 1.36 | 1.20 |
| Draw or Konkola Blades | 60% | 1.68 | 1.56 |
| Zanaco or Konkola Blades | 67% | 1.49 | 1.31 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | 2.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 66% | 1.52 | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 84% | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | 2.37 | 2.34 |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | 1.73 | 1.51 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Zanaco vs Konkola Blades
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 66%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 42%.
Zanaco vs Konkola Blades correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 17%, ahead of 1-0 (16%) and 1-1 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 17.0% | 5.90 |
| 1-0 | 15.8% | 6.34 |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | 7.25 |
| 0-1 | 12.8% | 7.79 |
| 2-0 | 8.1% | 12.35 |
Form: Zanaco and Konkola Blades in their last five
Zanaco have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Konkola Blades have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Zanaco: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | ZESCO United (away)Zambia Super League | 1-6 | L |
| 20 May 2026 | Kabwe Warriors (away)Zambia Super League | 0-0 | D |
| 16 May 2026 | Nchanga Rangers (home)Zambia Super League | 1-0 | W |
| 12 May 2026 | NAPSA Stars (away)Zambia Super League | 0-2 | L |
| 6 May 2026 | Red Arrows (home)Zambia Super League | 0-0 | D |
Konkola Blades: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | Nchanga Rangers (away)Zambia Super League | 2-1 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | NAPSA Stars (home)Zambia Super League | 0-0 | D |
| 14 May 2026 | Mines United (away)Zambia Super League | 2-1 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Power Dynamos (home)Zambia Super League | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Red Arrows (away)Zambia Super League | 1-1 | D |
Zanaco vs Konkola Blades head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Zanaco won 2, Konkola Blades won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2026, finished Zanaco 1–1 Konkola Blades.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Zanaco – Konkola BladesZambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Konkola Blades – ZanacoZambia Super League | 0-1 |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Konkola Blades – ZanacoZambia Super League | 0-0 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Zanaco – Konkola BladesZambia Super League | 3-0 |
The rest of the Zambia Super League is on our Zambia Super League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT