Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars prediction: Zambia Super League, Saturday 17 October

Zanaco host NAPSA Stars in the Zambia Super League on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Sunset (Lusaka). Zanaco are 15th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; NAPSA Stars are 10th with 1.

Who will win Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars?

There is little to separate the sides: Zanaco 41%, the draw 33%, NAPSA Stars 26%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.23 on Zanaco is shorter than our fair price of 2.44: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: under 2.5 goals (66%) and under 3.5 goals (84%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.1 and 0.7, and under 2.5 goals at 66%. NAPSA Stars may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 42%.

Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 17%, ahead of 1-0 (17%) and 1-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.

Form: Zanaco and NAPSA Stars in their last five

Zanaco have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. NAPSA Stars have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Zanaco: last five matches

NAPSA Stars: last five matches

Zanaco vs NAPSA Stars head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Zanaco won none, NAPSA Stars won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 12 May 2026, finished NAPSA Stars 2–0 Zanaco.

The rest of the Zambia Super League is on our Zambia Super League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.