ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers prediction: Zambia Super League, Sunday 18 October

ZESCO United host Mufulira Wanderers in the Zambia Super League on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Trade Fair Grounds (Ndola).

Who will win ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers?

ZESCO United are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 30% for the draw and 17% for Mufulira Wanderers. Megapari's 1.79 on ZESCO United is shorter than our fair price of 1.88: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: ZESCO United or draw (83%), under 2.5 goals (64%) and under 3.5 goals (83%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.3 and 0.5, and under 2.5 goals at 64%. Mufulira Wanderers may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 41%.

ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 20%, ahead of 0-0 (16%) and 2-0 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.

Form: ZESCO United and Mufulira Wanderers in their last five

ZESCO United have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. Mufulira Wanderers have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 1 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

ZESCO United: last five matches

Mufulira Wanderers: last five matches

ZESCO United vs Mufulira Wanderers head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, ZESCO United won 3, Mufulira Wanderers won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 22 February 2026, finished ZESCO United 1–2 Mufulira Wanderers.

The rest of the Zambia Super League is on our Zambia Super League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.