Serie A
AC Milan vs Inter prediction: Serie A, Saturday 31 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
AC Milan host Inter in Serie A on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Giuseppe Meazza (Milan). AC Milan are 5th in the table with 15 points from 7 games; Inter are 1st with 22.
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
There is little to separate the sides: AC Milan 29%, the draw 26%, Inter 45%. Megapari pays 2.36 on Inter, more than our fair price of 2.23.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%) and both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan to win | 29% | 3.40 | 3.11 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | 3.71 |
| Inter to win | 45% | 2.23 | 2.36 |
| AC Milan or draw | 55% | 1.82 | 1.66 |
| Draw or Inter | 71% | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| AC Milan or Inter | 74% | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 | 2.33 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.70 | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.44 | 2.42 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 23:49 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in AC Milan vs Inter
Expected goals are 1.2 for AC Milan and 1.7 for Inter, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
AC Milan vs Inter correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.5% | 8.69 |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | 10.53 |
| 0-1 | 8.2% | 12.20 |
| 0-2 | 7.6% | 13.19 |
| 2-1 | 6.9% | 14.56 |
Form: AC Milan and Inter in their last five
AC Milan have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. Inter have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +6. The results cover every competition in our data.
AC Milan: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2026 | Bournemouth (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-3 | L |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Atalanta (home)Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg (away)UEFA Europa League | 4-0 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | US Sassuolo (away)Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | US Lecce (home)Serie A | 3-0 | W |
Inter: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Fiorentina (home)Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Bologna (away)Serie A | 3-1 | W |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Club Brugge (home)UEFA Champions League | 3-4 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Parma (home)Serie A | 3-0 | W |
AC Milan vs Inter head to head
In their last five meetings in our data, AC Milan won 3, Inter won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 8 March 2026, finished AC Milan 1–0 Inter.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | AC Milan – InterSerie A | 1-0 |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Inter – AC MilanSerie A | 0-1 |
| 2 Feb 2025 | AC Milan – InterSerie A | 1-1 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Inter – AC MilanSerie A | 1-2 |
| 22 Apr 2024 | AC Milan – InterSerie A | 1-2 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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