AJ Auxerre vs Paris prediction: Ligue 1, Saturday 7 November

AJ Auxerre host Paris in Ligue 1 on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 19:15 EAT. The match is played at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps (Auxerre). AJ Auxerre are 12th in the table with 10 points from 8 games; Paris are 6th with 14.

Who will win AJ Auxerre vs Paris?

There is little to separate the sides: AJ Auxerre 30%, the draw 26%, Paris 43%. Megapari's 2.05 on Paris is shorter than our fair price of 2.31: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in AJ Auxerre vs Paris

Expected goals are 1.2 for AJ Auxerre and 1.4 for Paris, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

AJ Auxerre vs Paris correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (9%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: AJ Auxerre and Paris in their last five

AJ Auxerre have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Paris have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.

AJ Auxerre: last five matches

Paris: last five matches

AJ Auxerre vs Paris head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, AJ Auxerre won none, Paris won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 8 February 2026, finished AJ Auxerre 0–0 Paris.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Paris has drifted from 1.93 to 2.05 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.78 to 1.77, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.