Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 5 November

Anderlecht host Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 20:45 EAT. The match is played at Constant Vanden Stock (Brussels).

Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Anderlecht are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 23% for Red Bull Salzburg. Megapari's 1.89 on Anderlecht sits right on our fair price of 1.88.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%) and both teams to score: yes (58%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg

Expected goals are 1.9 for Anderlecht and 1.1 for Red Bull Salzburg, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 58%.

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Anderlecht and Red Bull Salzburg in their last five

Anderlecht have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Red Bull Salzburg have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Anderlecht: last five matches

Red Bull Salzburg: last five matches

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg head to head

Anderlecht and Red Bull Salzburg have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Anderlecht has shortened from 2.05 to 1.89 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.