Arsenal vs Hull City prediction: Premier League, Saturday 7 November

Arsenal host Hull City in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Emirates (London). Arsenal are 2nd in the table with 21 points from 8 games; Hull City are 10th with 10.

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?

The model makes Arsenal clear favourites at 81%, with the draw at 14% and Hull City at 5%. Megapari's 1.19 on Arsenal is shorter than our fair price of 1.23: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Arsenal to win (81%) and Arsenal or draw (95%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Arsenal vs Hull City

Expected goals are 2.3 for Arsenal and 0.4 for Hull City, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Hull City may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 42%.

Arsenal vs Hull City correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 17%, ahead of 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.

Form: Arsenal and Hull City in their last five

Arsenal are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 10 goals scored and 3 conceded. Hull City have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 6 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Arsenal: last five matches

Hull City: last five matches

Arsenal vs Hull City head to head

Arsenal and Hull City have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Arsenal has shortened from 1.21 to 1.19 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.52 to 1.51, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.