Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction: Premier League, Saturday 31 October

Aston Villa host Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Villa Park (Birmingham). Aston Villa are 6th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Fulham are 12th with 8.

Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Aston Villa are favourites, though not by much: 51% to win, 26% for the draw and 23% for Fulham. Megapari pays 2.08 on Aston Villa, more than our fair price of 1.94.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Aston Villa vs Fulham

Expected goals are 1.7 for Aston Villa and 0.9 for Fulham, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.

Aston Villa vs Fulham correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (12%) and 2-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Aston Villa and Fulham in their last five

Aston Villa are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 14 goals scored and 4 conceded. Fulham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Aston Villa: last five matches

Fulham: last five matches

Aston Villa vs Fulham head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Aston Villa won 5, Fulham won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 25 April 2026, finished Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Aston Villa has drifted from 2.04 to 2.08 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.87 to 1.81, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.