Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir prediction: Süper Lig, Monday 26 October

Beşiktaş host İstanbul Başakşehir in the Süper Lig on Monday 26 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. The match is played at Tupras (Istanbul). Beşiktaş are 5th in the table with 15 points from 8 games; İstanbul Başakşehir are 10th with 11.

Who will win Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?

The model makes Beşiktaş clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 20% and İstanbul Başakşehir at 16%. Megapari's 1.37 on Beşiktaş is shorter than our fair price of 1.56: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Beşiktaş to win (64%), Beşiktaş or draw (84%), over 1.5 goals (78%) and over 2.5 goals (61%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 05:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir

Goals are expected: 2.0 for Beşiktaş and 1.1 for İstanbul Başakşehir, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Beşiktaş and İstanbul Başakşehir in their last five

Beşiktaş have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. İstanbul Başakşehir have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Beşiktaş: last five matches

İstanbul Başakşehir: last five matches

Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Beşiktaş won 2, İstanbul Başakşehir won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 15 February 2026, finished İstanbul Başakşehir 2–3 Beşiktaş.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.