UEFA Champions League
Bodø/Glimt vs Lille prediction: UEFA Champions League, Tuesday 3 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Bodø/Glimt
Lille
- Bodø/Glimt
- 53%Megapari 1.92
- Draw
- 24%Megapari 4.07
- Lille
- 23%Megapari 4.00
- Both teams to score: yes60% · fair 1.68Bet 1.45
xG 1.8–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)
Bodø/Glimt host Lille in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Aspmyra (Bodo). Bodø/Glimt are 28th in the table with 3 points from 3 games; Lille are 35th with 0.
Who will win Bodø/Glimt vs Lille?
Bodø/Glimt are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 24% for the draw and 23% for Lille. Megapari's 1.92 on Bodø/Glimt sits right on our fair price of 1.90.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (60%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodø/Glimt to win | 53% | 1.90 | 1.92 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 | 4.07 |
| Lille to win | 23% | 4.28 | 4.00 |
| Bodø/Glimt or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| Draw or Lille | 47% | 2.12 | 1.98 |
| Bodø/Glimt or Lille | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 | 2.57 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 60% | 1.68 | 1.45 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.47 | 2.59 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 27 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Bodø/Glimt vs Lille
Goals are expected: 1.8 for Bodø/Glimt and 1.1 for Lille, 2.9 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.
Bodø/Glimt vs Lille correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.1% | 8.98 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 10.16 |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | 10.72 |
| 2-0 | 9.0% | 11.16 |
| 3-1 | 6.0% | 16.58 |
Form: Bodø/Glimt and Lille in their last five
Bodø/Glimt have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Lille have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Bodø/Glimt: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Valerenga (home)Eliteserien | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Napoli (away)UEFA Champions League | 3-4 | L |
| 17 Oct 2026 | HamKam (away)Eliteserien | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Borussia Dortmund (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Kristiansund BK (home)Eliteserien | 3-1 | W |
Lille: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Monaco (away)Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Galatasaray (home)UEFA Champions League | 2-4 | L |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Brest (home)Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Arsenal (away)UEFA Champions League | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Le Havre (home)Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
Bodø/Glimt vs Lille head to head
Bodø/Glimt and Lille have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Bodø/Glimt has shortened from 2.09 to 1.92 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.46 to 1.50, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bodø/Glimt to win | 2.09 | 1.92 ↓ |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.07 ↑ |
| Lille to win | 3.62 | 4.00 ↑ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.46 | 1.50 ↑ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.57 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.43 | 1.45 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.66 | 2.59 ↓ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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