Serie A
Bologna vs Monza prediction: Serie A, Saturday 31 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Bologna
Monza
- Bologna
- 54%Megapari 1.81
- Draw
- 25%Megapari 3.96
- Monza
- 21%Megapari 4.74
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.8–1.0 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Bologna host Monza in Serie A on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna). Bologna are 13th in the table with 8 points from 8 games; Monza are 15th with 7.
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
Bologna are favourites, though not by much: 54% to win, 25% for the draw and 21% for Monza. Megapari's 1.81 on Bologna sits right on our fair price of 1.84.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna to win | 54% | 1.84 | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | 3.96 |
| Monza to win | 21% | 4.79 | 4.74 |
| Bologna or draw | 79% | 1.26 | 1.23 |
| Draw or Monza | 46% | 2.20 | 2.11 |
| Bologna or Monza | 75% | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | 2.13 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.85 | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.18 | 2.05 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 23:49 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Bologna vs Monza
Expected goals are 1.8 for Bologna and 1.0 for Monza, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Bologna vs Monza correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.6% | 8.59 |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | 9.64 |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | 10.18 |
| 2-0 | 9.7% | 10.33 |
| 0-0 | 6.7% | 14.88 |
Form: Bologna and Monza in their last five
Bologna have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Monza have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Bologna: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Cagliari (away)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Inter (home)Serie A | 1-3 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | US Lecce (away)Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Torino (home)Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Napoli (away)Serie A | 0-1 | L |
Monza: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | Torino (away)Serie A | 2-3 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Cagliari (home)Serie A | 4-0 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Lazio (away)Serie A | 1-3 | L |
| 18 Sep 2026 | US Sassuolo (home)Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | US Lecce (away)Serie A | 2-3 | L |
Bologna vs Monza head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, Bologna won 2, Monza won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 18 January 2025, finished Bologna 3–1 Monza.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | Bologna – MonzaSerie A | 3-1 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Monza – BolognaSerie A | 1-2 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Bologna – MonzaSerie A | 0-0 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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