Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis prediction: UEFA Champions League, Wednesday 4 November

Borussia Dortmund host Real Betis in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund). Borussia Dortmund are 13th in the table with 6 points from 3 games; Real Betis are 5th with 9.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis?

Borussia Dortmund are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 23% for the draw and 21% for Real Betis. Megapari's 1.80 on Borussia Dortmund sits right on our fair price of 1.77.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Borussia Dortmund to win (56%), over 1.5 goals (79%), over 2.5 goals (60%) and both teams to score: yes (59%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 12:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis

Goals are expected: 2.0 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.1 for Real Betis, 3.1 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis in their last five

Borussia Dortmund have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Real Betis have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Borussia Dortmund: last five matches

Real Betis: last five matches

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis head to head

Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Borussia Dortmund has drifted from 1.79 to 1.80 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.44 to 1.50, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.