Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg prediction: Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November

Borussia Dortmund host SV 07 Elversberg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 17:30 EAT. The match is played at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in the table with 17 points from 7 games; SV 07 Elversberg are 5th with 13.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg?

The model makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites at 72%, with the draw at 16% and SV 07 Elversberg at 11%. Megapari's 1.32 on Borussia Dortmund is shorter than our fair price of 1.38: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Borussia Dortmund to win (72%), Borussia Dortmund or draw (89%), over 1.5 goals (81%) and over 2.5 goals (66%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg

Goals are expected: 2.4 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.9 for SV 07 Elversberg, 3.4 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 3-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Borussia Dortmund and SV 07 Elversberg in their last five

Borussia Dortmund have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. SV 07 Elversberg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Borussia Dortmund: last five matches

SV 07 Elversberg: last five matches

Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg head to head

Borussia Dortmund and SV 07 Elversberg have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.30 to 1.30, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.