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Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Premier League, Saturday 31 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Brentford

Nottingham Forest

Brentford
47%Megapari 2.07
Draw
26%Megapari 3.88
Nottingham Forest
27%Megapari 3.65

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.5–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)

Brentford host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Brentford Community Stadium (Brentford). Brentford are 7th in the table with 10 points from 7 games; Nottingham Forest are 18th with 6.

Who will win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Brentford are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 26% for the draw and 27% for Nottingham Forest. Megapari's 2.07 on Brentford sits right on our fair price of 2.12.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Brentford to win 47% 2.12 2.07
Draw 26% 3.83 3.88
Nottingham Forest to win 27% 3.74 3.65
Brentford or draw 73% 1.37 1.33
Draw or Nottingham Forest 53% 1.89 1.85
Brentford or Nottingham Forest 74% 1.35 1.30
Over 1.5 goals 74% 1.35 1.22
Over 2.5 goals 53% 1.90 1.78
Under 2.5 goals 47% 2.12 2.21
Under 3.5 goals 72% 1.39 1.45
Both teams to score: yes 56% 1.80 1.60
Both teams to score: no 44% 2.25 2.22

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest

Expected goals are 1.5 for Brentford and 1.1 for Nottingham Forest, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-112.8%7.79
1-010.7%9.38
2-19.2%10.81
2-08.5%11.72
0-08.1%12.41

Form: Brentford and Nottingham Forest in their last five

Brentford have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Nottingham Forest have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Brentford: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Liverpool (home)Premier League1-2L
10 Oct 2026Aston Villa (away)Premier League2-2D
18 Sep 2026Chelsea (home)Premier League3-0W
12 Sep 2026Bournemouth (away)Premier League2-2D
5 Sep 2026Sunderland (home)Premier League1-1D

Nottingham Forest: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
23 Oct 2026Ipswich Town (away)Premier League1-1D
18 Oct 2026Arsenal (home)Premier League0-1L
11 Oct 2026Crystal Palace (away)Premier League1-3L
19 Sep 2026Coventry City (home)Premier League0-1L
12 Sep 2026Aston Villa (away)Premier League2-1W

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Brentford won 2, Nottingham Forest won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 25 January 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest.

DateMatchScore
25 Jan 2026Brentford – Nottingham ForestPremier League0-2
17 Aug 2025Nottingham Forest – BrentfordPremier League3-1
1 May 2025Nottingham Forest – BrentfordPremier League0-2
21 Dec 2024Brentford – Nottingham ForestPremier League0-2
20 Jan 2024Brentford – Nottingham ForestPremier League3-2

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Brentford has shortened from 2.11 to 2.07 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.73 to 1.78, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Brentford to win2.112.07 ↓
Draw3.723.88 ↑
Nottingham Forest to win3.673.65 ↓
Over 2.5 goals1.731.78 ↑
Under 2.5 goals2.282.21 ↓
Both teams to score: yes1.551.60 ↑
Both teams to score: no2.322.22 ↓

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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