Premier League
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Premier League, Saturday 31 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
- Brentford
- 47%Megapari 2.07
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.88
- Nottingham Forest
- 27%Megapari 3.65
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.5–1.1 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Brentford host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Brentford Community Stadium (Brentford). Brentford are 7th in the table with 10 points from 7 games; Nottingham Forest are 18th with 6.
Who will win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
Brentford are favourites, though not by much: 47% to win, 26% for the draw and 27% for Nottingham Forest. Megapari's 2.07 on Brentford sits right on our fair price of 2.12.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford to win | 47% | 2.12 | 2.07 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | 3.88 |
| Nottingham Forest to win | 27% | 3.74 | 3.65 |
| Brentford or draw | 73% | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Draw or Nottingham Forest | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Brentford or Nottingham Forest | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.45 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.25 | 2.22 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
Expected goals are 1.5 for Brentford and 1.1 for Nottingham Forest, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.8% | 7.79 |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | 9.38 |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | 10.81 |
| 2-0 | 8.5% | 11.72 |
| 0-0 | 8.1% | 12.41 |
Form: Brentford and Nottingham Forest in their last five
Brentford have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Nottingham Forest have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Brentford: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Liverpool (home)Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Aston Villa (away)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Chelsea (home)Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth (away)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Sunderland (home)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
Nottingham Forest: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | Ipswich Town (away)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Arsenal (home)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Crystal Palace (away)Premier League | 1-3 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Coventry City (home)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Aston Villa (away)Premier League | 2-1 | W |
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest head to head
In their last five meetings in our data, Brentford won 2, Nottingham Forest won 3 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 25 January 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Nottingham Forest.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Brentford – Nottingham ForestPremier League | 0-2 |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Nottingham Forest – BrentfordPremier League | 3-1 |
| 1 May 2025 | Nottingham Forest – BrentfordPremier League | 0-2 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Brentford – Nottingham ForestPremier League | 0-2 |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Brentford – Nottingham ForestPremier League | 3-2 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Brentford has shortened from 2.11 to 2.07 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.73 to 1.78, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford to win | 2.11 | 2.07 ↓ |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.88 ↑ |
| Nottingham Forest to win | 3.67 | 3.65 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.78 ↑ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.21 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.55 | 1.60 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.32 | 2.22 ↓ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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