Brighton vs Brentford prediction: Premier League, Sunday 8 November

Brighton host Brentford in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at American Express (Brighton and Hove). Brighton are 3rd in the table with 19 points from 9 games; Brentford are 6th with 14.

Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?

Brighton are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 25% for the draw and 25% for Brentford. Megapari's 1.98 on Brighton sits right on our fair price of 1.99.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 17:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Brighton vs Brentford

Expected goals are 1.7 for Brighton and 1.1 for Brentford, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.

Brighton vs Brentford correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Brighton and Brentford in their last five

Brighton have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +8. Brentford have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Brighton: last five matches

Brentford: last five matches

Brighton vs Brentford head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Brighton won 3, Brentford won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 21 February 2026, finished Brentford 0–2 Brighton.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Brighton has drifted from 1.86 to 1.98 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.55 to 1.64, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.