CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao prediction: LaLiga, Saturday 7 November

CA Osasuna host Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at El Sadar (Pamplona). CA Osasuna are 14th in the table with 11 points from 10 games; Athletic Bilbao are 8th with 12.

Who will win CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao?

There is little to separate the sides: CA Osasuna 31%, the draw 28%, Athletic Bilbao 41%. Megapari's 2.23 on Athletic Bilbao is shorter than our fair price of 2.46: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

Expected goals are 1.2 for CA Osasuna and 1.2 for Athletic Bilbao, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.

CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: CA Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao in their last five

CA Osasuna have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. Athletic Bilbao have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.

CA Osasuna: last five matches

Athletic Bilbao: last five matches

CA Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, CA Osasuna won none, Athletic Bilbao won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 21 April 2026, finished Athletic Bilbao 1–0 CA Osasuna.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.