Serie A
Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction: Serie A, Saturday 7 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Cagliari host Frosinone in Serie A on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Unipol Domus (Cagliari). Cagliari are 10th in the table with 13 points from 9 games; Frosinone are 6th with 17.
Who will win Cagliari vs Frosinone?
There is little to separate the sides: Cagliari 39%, the draw 25%, Frosinone 36%. Megapari's 2.22 on Cagliari is shorter than our fair price of 2.54: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 2.5 goals (60%) and both teams to score: yes (61%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari to win | 39% | 2.54 | 2.22 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | 4.13 |
| Frosinone to win | 36% | 2.81 | 3.10 |
| Cagliari or draw | 64% | 1.55 | 1.42 |
| Draw or Frosinone | 61% | 1.65 | 1.74 |
| Cagliari or Frosinone | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 60% | 1.66 | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | 2.90 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 61% | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.59 | 2.85 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Cagliari vs Frosinone
Goals are expected: 1.4 for Cagliari and 1.5 for Frosinone, 2.8 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 61%.
Cagliari vs Frosinone correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.5% | 8.01 |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | 11.55 |
| 0-1 | 8.2% | 12.17 |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | 12.50 |
| 1-0 | 7.5% | 13.25 |
Form: Cagliari and Frosinone in their last five
Cagliari have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -7. Frosinone have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.
Cagliari: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | Roma (away)Serie A | 2-4 | L |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Bologna (home)Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Monza (away)Serie A | 0-4 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Juventus (home)Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Udinese (away)Serie A | 1-0 | W |
Frosinone: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 | US Lecce (home)Serie A | 5-1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Atalanta (away)Serie A | 4-4 | D |
| 16 Oct 2026 | US Sassuolo (home)Serie A | 4-2 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Napoli (away)Serie A | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Como (home)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
Cagliari vs Frosinone head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Cagliari won 1, Frosinone won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 21 January 2024, finished Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2024 | Frosinone – CagliariSerie A | 3-1 |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Cagliari – FrosinoneSerie A | 4-3 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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