Celta Vigo vs Levante UD prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 8 November

Celta Vigo host Levante UD in LaLiga on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Balaidos (Vigo). Celta Vigo are 9th in the table with 12 points from 11 games; Levante UD are 18th with 10.

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Levante UD?

Celta Vigo are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 25% for the draw and 22% for Levante UD. Megapari's 1.86 on Celta Vigo sits right on our fair price of 1.90.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Celta Vigo vs Levante UD

Expected goals are 1.7 for Celta Vigo and 1.0 for Levante UD, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.

Celta Vigo vs Levante UD correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Celta Vigo and Levante UD in their last five

Celta Vigo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Levante UD have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Celta Vigo: last five matches

Levante UD: last five matches

Celta Vigo vs Levante UD head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Celta Vigo won 1, Levante UD won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 12 May 2026, finished Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante UD.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Celta Vigo has shortened from 1.94 to 1.86 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.97 to 1.90, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.