UEFA Europa League
Celtic vs Beşiktaş prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 5 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Celtic host Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Celtic Park (Glasgow). Celtic are 35th in the table with 0 points from 3 games; Beşiktaş are 8th with 7.
Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
There is little to separate the sides: Celtic 39%, the draw 25%, Beşiktaş 36%. Megapari pays 2.98 on Celtic, more than our fair price of 2.56.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (79%) and both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to win | 39% | 2.56 | 2.98 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | 3.79 |
| Beşiktaş to win | 36% | 2.79 | 2.31 |
| Celtic or draw | 64% | 1.56 | 1.66 |
| Draw or Beşiktaş | 61% | 1.64 | 1.43 |
| Celtic or Beşiktaş | 75% | 1.34 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.27 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | 2.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.53 | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.69 | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.44 | 2.37 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Celtic vs Beşiktaş
Expected goals are 1.7 for Celtic and 1.4 for Beşiktaş, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.3% | 8.83 |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | 10.81 |
| 1-0 | 7.4% | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | 13.68 |
| 2-0 | 6.8% | 14.64 |
Form: Celtic and Beşiktaş in their last five
Celtic have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Beşiktaş have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Celtic: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Dundee United (home)Scottish Premiership | 2-2 | D |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Hibernian (away)Scottish Premiership | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Celta Vigo (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Heart of Midlothian (home)Scottish Premiership | 7-1 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Benfica (away)UEFA Europa League | 1-4 | L |
Beşiktaş: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | İstanbul Başakşehir (home)Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Crystal Palace (home)UEFA Europa League | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Trabzonspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
| 15 Oct 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim (away)UEFA Europa League | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Kocaelispor (home)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
Celtic vs Beşiktaş head to head
Celtic and Beşiktaş have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Celtic has shortened from 3.11 to 2.98 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic to win | 3.11 | 2.98 ↓ |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.79 ↑ |
| Beşiktaş to win | 2.32 | 2.31 ↓ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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