Scottish Premiership
Celtic vs Dundee United prediction: Scottish Premiership, Wednesday 28 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Celtic host Dundee United in the Scottish Premiership on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 22:45 EAT. The match is played at Celtic Park (Glasgow). Celtic are 1st in the table with 24 points from 9 games; Dundee United are 6th with 12.
Who will win Celtic vs Dundee United?
The model makes Celtic clear favourites at 74%, with the draw at 16% and Dundee United at 10%. Megapari's 1.28 on Celtic is shorter than our fair price of 1.35: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Celtic to win (74%), Celtic or draw (90%), over 1.5 goals (82%) and over 2.5 goals (64%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic to win Tip | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.31 | 5.70 |
| Dundee United to win | 10% | 10.12 | 8.80 |
| Celtic or draw Tip | 90% | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Draw or Dundee United | 26% | 3.89 | 3.50 |
| Celtic or Dundee United | 84% | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 82% | 1.22 | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 64% | 1.55 | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 | 2.74 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.85 | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.18 | 2.05 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Celtic vs Dundee United
Goals are expected: 2.6 for Celtic and 0.8 for Dundee United, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Celtic vs Dundee United correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 11%, ahead of 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 10.8% | 9.23 |
| 3-0 | 9.5% | 10.50 |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | 11.10 |
| 1-0 | 7.9% | 12.59 |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | 12.63 |
Form: Celtic and Dundee United in their last five
Celtic have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Dundee United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Celtic: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Heart of Midlothian (home)Scottish Premiership | 7-1 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Benfica (away)UEFA Europa League | 1-4 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Motherwell (away)Scottish Premiership | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Rangers (home)Scottish Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Ferencvarosi (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-3 | L |
Dundee United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | St. Johnstone (away)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Hibernian (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | St. Mirren (away)Scottish Premiership | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Falkirk (home)Scottish Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Motherwell (away)Scottish Premiership | 0-3 | L |
Celtic vs Dundee United head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Celtic won 4, Dundee United won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 22 March 2026, finished Dundee United 2–0 Celtic.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Dundee United – CelticScottish Premiership | 2-0 |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Celtic – Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership | 4-0 |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Dundee United – CelticScottish Premiership | 2-1 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Dundee United – CelticScottish Premiership | 0-5 |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Celtic – Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership | 3-0 |
| 8 Jan 2025 | Celtic – Dundee UnitedScottish Premiership | 2-0 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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