Serie A
Como vs Venezia prediction: Serie A, Sunday 1 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Como host Venezia in Serie A on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 14:30 EAT. The match is played at Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como). Como are 4th in the table with 17 points from 8 games; Venezia are 20th with 3.
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
The model makes Como clear favourites at 72%, with the draw at 17% and Venezia at 11%. Megapari's 1.31 on Como is shorter than our fair price of 1.39: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Como to win (72%), Como or draw (89%), over 1.5 goals (78%) and over 2.5 goals (62%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como to win Tip | 72% | 1.39 | 1.31 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.73 | 6.37 |
| Venezia to win | 11% | 9.32 | 10.30 |
| Como or draw Tip | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Draw or Venezia | 28% | 3.55 | 3.78 |
| Como or Venezia | 83% | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 62% | 1.60 | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | 3.04 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.96 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.86 | 1.66 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.17 | 2.12 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 23:49 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Como vs Venezia
Goals are expected: 2.2 for Como and 0.8 for Venezia, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Como vs Venezia correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 12.0% | 8.31 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 9.49 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 10.36 |
| 1-1 | 9.2% | 10.81 |
| 3-0 | 8.8% | 11.38 |
Form: Como and Venezia in their last five
Como have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +6. Venezia have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. The results cover every competition in our data.
Como: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | US Sassuolo (home)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Man United (home)UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Fiorentina (away)Serie A | 3-1 | W |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Feyenoord (away)UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Roma (home)Serie A | 0-0 | D |
Venezia: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Genoa CFC (away)Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Napoli (home)Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Atalanta (away)Serie A | 1-3 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Lazio (home)Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Fiorentina (home)Serie A | 2-4 | L |
Como vs Venezia head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Como won none, Venezia won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 8 March 2025, finished Como 1–1 Venezia.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | Como – VeneziaSerie A | 1-1 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | Venezia – ComoSerie A | 2-2 |
The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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