Coventry City vs Sunderland prediction: Premier League, Saturday 31 October

Coventry City host Sunderland in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Ricoh Arena (Coventry). Coventry City are 19th in the table with 6 points from 8 games; Sunderland are 20th with 4.

Who will win Coventry City vs Sunderland?

There is little to separate the sides: Coventry City 38%, the draw 28%, Sunderland 34%. Megapari pays 2.96 on Coventry City, more than our fair price of 2.64.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 24 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Coventry City vs Sunderland

Expected goals are 1.3 for Coventry City and 1.0 for Sunderland, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

Coventry City vs Sunderland correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (12%) and 0-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Coventry City and Sunderland in their last five

Coventry City have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Sunderland have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. The results cover every competition in our data.

Coventry City: last five matches

Sunderland: last five matches

Coventry City vs Sunderland head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Coventry City won 2, Sunderland won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 13 May 2025, finished Sunderland 1–1 Coventry City.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Coventry City has drifted from 2.79 to 2.96 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.05 to 1.94, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.