Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction: Premier League, Sunday 8 November

Crystal Palace host Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Selhurst Park (London). Crystal Palace are 18th in the table with 7 points from 9 games; Liverpool are 5th with 15.

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Liverpool are favourites, though not by much: 54% to win, 23% for the draw and 23% for Crystal Palace. Megapari's 1.71 on Liverpool is shorter than our fair price of 1.84: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (79%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 17:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

Goals are expected: 1.2 for Crystal Palace and 1.8 for Liverpool, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 (10%) and 0-1 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Crystal Palace and Liverpool in their last five

Crystal Palace have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 4 in that run. Liverpool have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Crystal Palace: last five matches

Liverpool: last five matches

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Crystal Palace won 2, Liverpool won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 25 April 2026, finished Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Liverpool has shortened from 1.71 to 1.71 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.51 to 1.57, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.