Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 5 November

Crystal Palace host TSG Hoffenheim in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 20:45 EAT. The match is played at Selhurst Park (London). Crystal Palace are 15th in the table with 4 points from 3 games; TSG Hoffenheim are 23rd with 3.

Who will win Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Crystal Palace are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 22% for the draw and 22% for TSG Hoffenheim. Megapari pays 1.88 on Crystal Palace, more than our fair price of 1.80.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Crystal Palace to win (56%), over 1.5 goals (83%), over 2.5 goals (62%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 29 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim

Goals are expected: 2.3 for Crystal Palace and 1.2 for TSG Hoffenheim, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Crystal Palace and TSG Hoffenheim in their last five

Crystal Palace have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. TSG Hoffenheim have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.

Crystal Palace: last five matches

TSG Hoffenheim: last five matches

Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim head to head

Crystal Palace and TSG Hoffenheim have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Crystal Palace has shortened from 1.96 to 1.88 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.