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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV prediction: Bundesliga, Sunday 1 November

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Eintracht Frankfurt

Hamburger SV

Eintracht Frankfurt
56%Megapari 1.72
Draw
22%Megapari 4.61
Hamburger SV
22%Megapari 4.61
  • Eintracht Frankfurt to win56% · fair 1.80Bet 1.72
  • Over 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.24Bet 1.11
  • Over 2.5 goals63% · fair 1.59Bet 1.42
  • Both teams to score: yes61% · fair 1.63

xG 2.0–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (10%)

Eintracht Frankfurt host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 19:30 EAT. The match is played at Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main). Eintracht Frankfurt are 13th in the table with 8 points from 7 games; Hamburger SV are 10th with 9.

Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?

Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 22% for the draw and 22% for Hamburger SV. Megapari's 1.72 on Eintracht Frankfurt is shorter than our fair price of 1.80: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Eintracht Frankfurt to win (56%), over 1.5 goals (81%), over 2.5 goals (63%) and both teams to score: yes (61%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Eintracht Frankfurt to win Tip 56% 1.80 1.72
Draw 22% 4.55 4.61
Hamburger SV to win 22% 4.45 4.61
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 78% 1.29 1.24
Draw or Hamburger SV 44% 2.25 2.25
Eintracht Frankfurt or Hamburger SV 78% 1.28 1.24
Over 1.5 goals Tip 81% 1.24 1.11
Over 2.5 goals Tip 63% 1.59 1.42
Under 2.5 goals 37% 2.71 2.85
Under 3.5 goals 63% 1.59 1.83
Both teams to score: yes Tip 61% 1.63 1.44
Both teams to score: no 39% 2.58 2.62

Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 19:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV

Goals are expected: 2.0 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.3 for Hamburger SV, 3.3 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 61%.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-110.1%9.87
2-19.7%10.35
2-07.6%13.14
1-07.1%14.04
3-16.4%15.53

Form: Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV in their last five

Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Hamburger SV have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Eintracht Frankfurt: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Borussia Dortmund (away)Bundesliga0-1L
16 Oct 2026Köln (home)Bundesliga1-0W
10 Oct 2026RB Leipzig (away)Bundesliga0-6L
19 Sep 2026Freiburg (home)Bundesliga2-2D
12 Sep 2026Mainz (away)Bundesliga3-1W

Hamburger SV: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Paderborn 07 (away)Bundesliga0-1L
17 Oct 2026VfB Stuttgart (home)Bundesliga1-0W
10 Oct 2026TSG Hoffenheim (away)Bundesliga3-2W
19 Sep 2026Köln (home)Bundesliga2-1W
13 Sep 2026RB Leipzig (away)Bundesliga0-5L

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Eintracht Frankfurt won none, Hamburger SV won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV.

DateMatchScore
2 May 2026Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SVBundesliga1-2
20 Dec 2025Hamburger SV – Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga1-1

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Eintracht Frankfurt has drifted from 1.68 to 1.72 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.38 to 1.42, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Eintracht Frankfurt to win1.681.72 ↑
Draw4.724.61 ↓
Hamburger SV to win4.834.61 ↓
Over 2.5 goals1.381.42 ↑
Under 2.5 goals2.762.85 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.441.44 ↓
Both teams to score: no2.612.62 ↑

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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