Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV prediction: Bundesliga, Sunday 1 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- 56%Megapari 1.72
- Draw
- 22%Megapari 4.61
- Hamburger SV
- 22%Megapari 4.61
- Eintracht Frankfurt to win56% · fair 1.80Bet 1.72
- Over 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.24Bet 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals63% · fair 1.59Bet 1.42
- Both teams to score: yes61% · fair 1.63
xG 2.0–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (10%)
Eintracht Frankfurt host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 19:30 EAT. The match is played at Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main). Eintracht Frankfurt are 13th in the table with 8 points from 7 games; Hamburger SV are 10th with 9.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 22% for the draw and 22% for Hamburger SV. Megapari's 1.72 on Eintracht Frankfurt is shorter than our fair price of 1.80: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Eintracht Frankfurt to win (56%), over 1.5 goals (81%), over 2.5 goals (63%) and both teams to score: yes (61%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt to win Tip | 56% | 1.80 | 1.72 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.55 | 4.61 |
| Hamburger SV to win | 22% | 4.45 | 4.61 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt or draw | 78% | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Draw or Hamburger SV | 44% | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt or Hamburger SV | 78% | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 81% | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 63% | 1.59 | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | 2.85 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 61% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.58 | 2.62 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 19:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
Goals are expected: 2.0 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.3 for Hamburger SV, 3.3 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 61%.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.1% | 9.87 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 10.35 |
| 2-0 | 7.6% | 13.14 |
| 1-0 | 7.1% | 14.04 |
| 3-1 | 6.4% | 15.53 |
Form: Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV in their last five
Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Hamburger SV have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Eintracht Frankfurt: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Borussia Dortmund (away)Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Köln (home)Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | RB Leipzig (away)Bundesliga | 0-6 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Freiburg (home)Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Mainz (away)Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
Hamburger SV: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Paderborn 07 (away)Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Oct 2026 | VfB Stuttgart (home)Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim (away)Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Köln (home)Bundesliga | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | RB Leipzig (away)Bundesliga | 0-5 | L |
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Eintracht Frankfurt won none, Hamburger SV won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SVBundesliga | 1-2 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Hamburger SV – Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | 1-1 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Eintracht Frankfurt has drifted from 1.68 to 1.72 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.38 to 1.42, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt to win | 1.68 | 1.72 ↑ |
| Draw | 4.72 | 4.61 ↓ |
| Hamburger SV to win | 4.83 | 4.61 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.42 ↑ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.85 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.44 | 1.44 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.61 | 2.62 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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