LaLiga
Elche vs Valencia prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 1 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Elche
Valencia
- Elche
- 44%Megapari 2.55
- Draw
- 28%Megapari 3.52
- Valencia
- 29%Megapari 2.96
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.5–1.0 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Elche host Valencia in LaLiga on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Manuel Martinez Valero (Elche). Elche are 15th in the table with 10 points from 10 games; Valencia are 19th with 6.
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
There is little to separate the sides: Elche 44%, the draw 28%, Valencia 29%. Megapari pays 2.55 on Elche, more than our fair price of 2.28.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche to win | 44% | 2.28 | 2.55 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | 3.52 |
| Valencia to win | 29% | 3.50 | 2.96 |
| Elche or draw | 71% | 1.40 | 1.46 |
| Draw or Valencia | 56% | 1.78 | 1.58 |
| Elche or Valencia | 72% | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.12 | 2.02 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 25 October 2026, 23:49 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Elche vs Valencia
Expected goals are 1.5 for Elche and 1.0 for Valencia, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Elche vs Valencia correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (12%) and 2-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.8% | 7.79 |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | 8.43 |
| 2-0 | 9.5% | 10.55 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.76 |
| 0-0 | 8.8% | 11.35 |
Form: Elche and Valencia in their last five
Elche have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Valencia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Elche: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Rayo Vallecano (away)LaLiga | 3-0 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Celta Vigo (home)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Espanyol (away)LaLiga | 3-1 | W |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Real Madrid (home)LaLiga | 2-3 | L |
Valencia: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Villarreal (home)LaLiga | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Athletic Bilbao (home)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Racing de Santander (away)LaLiga | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Real Sociedad (home)LaLiga | 2-3 | L |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Deportivo Alavés (away)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
Elche vs Valencia head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Elche won 1, Valencia won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 11 April 2026, finished Elche 1–0 Valencia.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Elche – ValenciaLaLiga | 1-0 |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Valencia – ElcheLaLiga | 1-1 |
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT