Uganda Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons prediction: Uganda Premier League, Wednesday 28 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
- Entebbe UPPC
- 50%
- Draw
- 33%
- Maroons
- 17%
- Entebbe UPPC or draw83% · fair 1.20
- Under 2.5 goals66% · fair 1.51
- Under 3.5 goals86% · fair 1.17
xG 1.1–0.5 · likeliest 1-0 (21%)
Entebbe UPPC host Maroons in the Uganda Premier League on Wednesday 28 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. Entebbe UPPC are 4th in the table with 11 points from 6 games; Maroons are 6th with 10.
Who will win Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons?
Entebbe UPPC are favourites, though not by much: 50% to win, 33% for the draw and 17% for Maroons.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Entebbe UPPC or draw (83%), under 2.5 goals (66%) and under 3.5 goals (86%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Entebbe UPPC to win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.01 |
| Maroons to win | 17% | 5.98 |
| Entebbe UPPC or draw Tip | 83% | 1.20 |
| Draw or Maroons | 50% | 2.00 |
| Entebbe UPPC or Maroons | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.95 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 86% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | 2.42 |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | 1.71 |
Goals in Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.1 and 0.5, and under 2.5 goals at 66%. Maroons may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 41%.
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 21%, ahead of 0-0 (20%) and 2-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 21.1% | 4.74 |
| 0-0 | 19.6% | 5.11 |
| 2-0 | 12.2% | 8.22 |
| 1-1 | 11.8% | 8.47 |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | 10.42 |
Form: Entebbe UPPC and Maroons in their last five
Entebbe UPPC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Maroons have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. The results cover every competition in our data.
Entebbe UPPC: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | URA (away)Uganda Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Police (home)Uganda Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Mbarara City (away)Uganda Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Lugazi (home)Uganda Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | UPDF (home)Uganda Premier League | 2-1 | W |
Maroons: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | Kataka (home)Uganda Premier League | 4-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Vipers (away)Uganda Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Lugazi (home)Uganda Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | UPDF (away)Uganda Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Blacks Power (home)Uganda Premier League | 1-2 | L |
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Entebbe UPPC won none, Maroons won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 12 May 2026, finished Maroons 0–0 Entebbe UPPC.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | Maroons – Entebbe UPPCUganda Premier League | 0-0 |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Entebbe UPPC – MaroonsUganda Premier League | 0-0 |
The rest of the Uganda Premier League is on our Uganda Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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