LaLiga
Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruna prediction: LaLiga, Saturday 7 November
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Espanyol
Deportivo de A Coruna
- Espanyol
- 45%Megapari 2.30
- Draw
- 28%Megapari 3.52
- Deportivo de A Coruna
- 27%Megapari 3.37
- Under 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30Bet 1.29
xG 1.4–0.9 · likeliest 1-0 (13%)
Espanyol host Deportivo de A Coruna in LaLiga on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 18:15 EAT. The match is played at RCDE Stadium (Barcelona). Espanyol are 12th in the table with 11 points from 11 games; Deportivo de A Coruna are 11th with 11.
Who will win Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruna?
There is little to separate the sides: Espanyol 45%, the draw 28%, Deportivo de A Coruna 27%. Megapari pays 2.30 on Espanyol, more than our fair price of 2.22.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (77%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol to win | 45% | 2.22 | 2.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 | 3.52 |
| Deportivo de A Coruna to win | 27% | 3.76 | 3.37 |
| Espanyol or draw | 73% | 1.36 | 1.37 |
| Draw or Deportivo de A Coruna | 55% | 1.82 | 1.69 |
| Espanyol or Deportivo de A Coruna | 72% | 1.40 | 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.86 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 77% | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.96 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.04 | 1.95 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 18:35 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruna
Expected goals are 1.4 for Espanyol and 0.9 for Deportivo de A Coruna, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 46%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruna correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 13%, ahead of 1-1 (13%) and 0-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 13.5% | 7.41 |
| 1-1 | 13.4% | 7.49 |
| 0-0 | 10.9% | 9.16 |
| 2-0 | 9.7% | 10.31 |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | 11.44 |
Form: Espanyol and Deportivo de A Coruna in their last five
Espanyol have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Deportivo de A Coruna have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 4 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Espanyol: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 1-0 | W |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Racing de Santander (away)LaLiga | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Atlético Madrid (home)LaLiga | 0-1 | L |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Malaga (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Elche (home)LaLiga | 1-3 | L |
Deportivo de A Coruna: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Atlético Madrid (away)LaLiga | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Levante UD (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Real Sociedad (away)LaLiga | 2-3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Real Betis (home)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Sevilla (home)LaLiga | 0-1 | L |
Espanyol vs Deportivo de A Coruna head to head
Espanyol and Deportivo de A Coruna have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Espanyol has shortened from 2.32 to 2.30 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.18 to 2.10, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Espanyol to win | 2.32 | 2.30 ↓ |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.52 ↑ |
| Deportivo de A Coruna to win | 3.42 | 3.37 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.10 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.86 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.93 | 1.78 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 1.88 | 1.95 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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