Everton vs Coventry City prediction: Premier League, Friday 6 November

Everton host Coventry City in the Premier League on Friday 6 November, kick-off 23:00 EAT. The match is played at Hill Dickinson (Liverpool). Everton are 11th in the table with 10 points from 8 games; Coventry City are 19th with 6.

Who will win Everton vs Coventry City?

Everton are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 26% for the draw and 23% for Coventry City. Megapari's 1.75 on Everton is shorter than our fair price of 1.93: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 31 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Everton vs Coventry City

Expected goals are 1.4 for Everton and 1.0 for Coventry City, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 51%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.

Everton vs Coventry City correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (12%) and 0-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Everton and Coventry City in their last five

Everton have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Coventry City have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Everton: last five matches

Coventry City: last five matches

Everton vs Coventry City head to head

Everton and Coventry City have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Everton has drifted from 1.71 to 1.75 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.71 to 1.81, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.